LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come with statement successes into this Saturdays match.
LSU went to Texas and defeat the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. However, during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams look to take a place in the race more than to College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way in their opinion. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and have not given up a stage in the 4th quarter since their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into creating several decisions a week, even since he went 11 with three INTs.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college football. That includes the 45 they dumped on Texas.
Together with the roar of all Death Valley the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs around BetNow. Can the No. 5 scoring defense keep this close and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and also win the wager up and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Heres the complete breakdown.
There is hardly any doubt in the ability of Burrow . Hes converted to a Heisman candidate, obtaining a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
He is also working with a few of the getting teams in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame, and it has mastered in some huge games. Chase is a presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target that can fill the place. Its all a part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the roughest DB unit theyve played all season. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the additional competitors of LSU: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Though its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of the caliber of Burrow, florida sits in 33rd. Theyve played with two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a ton of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but has a large ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will face a ominous pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to be their very best is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line will be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing lineup Even though his consciousness must improve in the pocket. Auburns is the finest in the nation, and ranks 11th in defensive line yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is currently 85th in sack speed. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask off his game. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee.
Together with the LBs more involved from the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit should come up big in policy. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is often considered DBU for the gift they have on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even longer, in 2019.
Would probably likely soon be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, who allowed the smallest sum of first downs this past year. Though this group is currently 69th in passing yards allowed per-game, it will be given a chance against a pressured Trask.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game this season, going yet. A tackle broke at the point on his approach into an 88-yard TD run last weekend. Even with this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and is going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning power success (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front might not be potent. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and thats including Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut from the Kentucky game.
When they dont buy Perine or even Dameon Pierce going consistently, it puts ways too much pressure on Trask at a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned admiration from the college football world following last week. And while I dont expect them to come out in Death Valley, I really do see this game remaining many.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs from the FBS. However, LSU is not going to put up 45 or something near this. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
As the group has relied on them far too much to change the tide in matches, the Gators defense will probably work out over time. Marco Wilson will be the subject into some PIs against the physiological Chase or Jefferson.
However, I do not expect this. Maintaining the match in enough of a slog till then makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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